Two new ‘open’ seats spur political piñata question: 40 or 27?

Two new ‘open’ seats spur political piñata question: 40 or 27?
  • Sumo

It’s not if or when these days in the 305 political world, it’s where.

Folks are lining up like ducks to become the next Florida Senator in District 40, after former Sen. Frank Artiles was forced to resign over racist remarks, or maybe the next Congress member from District 27, after longtime veteran U.S. Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen announced Saturday she would not seek re-election. Some are having to choose between the two.

It’s almost like someone broke open a political piñata and the big kids are just diving in, leaving no room for the new kids to grab any candy.

The latest to officially dive into the 40 contest, even though the governor has not yet set an election date, is former Sen. Alex Diaz de la Portilla, who switched gears from considering a city of Miami commission run and filed paperwork Wednesday so he can start fundraising for a seat he is all to familiar with. The Dean DLP was in the Senate from 2000 to 2010, serving as Majority Leader and President Pro Tempore, until he was succeeded by his big brother Miguel DLP. This would be his first foray back into politics (for himself; he’s run other campaigns) since losing a bid to go back to the State House (he served as a rep from 1994 to 2000) in 2012.

This should put to rest all the talk about State Rep. Jeanette Núñez, who was being pushed hard by the Florida GOP, which is wise to be seeking a female to replace Artiles because some of his comments were misogynist, too, and you can bet that might become part of the campaign narrative if the Democrats choose a woman (read: wisely). Núñez was already loathe to have to move her family from Doral, from where she can comfortably run for Anitere Flores‘ seat when Flores terms out, which is her plan. She certainly isn’t going to run against The Dean, who was once her boss and mentor.

Read related story: Frank Artiles resigns and an old rival, Juan Zapata, could run

It should be an intresting primary nonetheless. Unless DLP is suddenly back in the GOP’s good graces, they may still push State Rep. Jose Felix Diaz into it. Pepi “The Selfie King” Diaz is said to be in the running for either U.S. Attorney General or Florida AG once Pam Bondi goes to Washington, but Ladra has been told that it’s been a difficult sell, primarily because he hasn’t really seen the inside of a courtroom, has he? Sscares away more of the multitudes on the sidelines thinking about this same senate seat, including former Miami-Dade Commissioner Juan Zapata — who has suddenly started a new, fresh round of Facebook ads — and former Miami-Dade School Board Member Raquel Regalado, who has been spending loads of time in Tallahassee since her loss to Miami-Dade County Mayor Carlos Gimenez and done many of her radio shows on state rather than county issues. While she lost countywide Regalado — who Ladra helped against Gimenez but is not working with in either of the other races — got tens of thousands of votes in both districts.

Interestingly enough, both Zap and Regalado are also interested in the congressional seat, for which former Cutler Bay Mayor Ed MacDougall — who lost a Congressional primary against Carlos Curbelo in 2014 — has formed an exploratory committee and Lt. Gov. Carlos Lopez-Cantera has said he’s thinking about it

And why wouldn’t they be?

These opportunities for open seats do not come often. In the case of District 27, where Ros-Lehtinen’s announcement came out of the blue, we already had a bunch of Democrats interested in turning that seat. These include Scott Fuhrman, the DUI driver who lost to Ros-Lehtinen in November, and Miami Beach Commissioner Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez, the primary frontrunner who has a head start on everybody else — actually challenging Ileana and not waiting until she retired — as well as some early success in the city despite coming in as the mayor’s nemesis. That is, unless Miami-Dade Commissioner Daniella Levine Cava jumps in. She has said that she is considering it. That could be a game changer. But are both of them too Democrat to carry the general? Dems seem to think this seat is theirs for the taking.

Read related story: Kristen Rosen Gonzalez to challenge Ileana Ros-Lehtinen

What an episode of Miami Hollywood Squares

Nobody has officially jumped in from the GOP side but Regalado makes sense. Ros-Lehtinen has always been a moderate and Regalado is too. Plus, she’s up on issues like education, immigration, healthcare and housing so she can hit the ground running. I like Mac, but he’s got too problems: He’s a Trump-loving hardline conservative and a gringo. I love Zap, but he should stick to 40, which is where he lives. Regalado lives in 27. She represented much of it on the school board. This is her home base. It’s Dean DLP’s home base, too, but the numbers may not look as good for a more conservative Republican.

Still, these days, it looks like everybody is Annette Taddeo, the carpetbagging perennial candidate who has run for county commission, liutenant governor and Congress. Or David Rivera, for that matter.

Speaking of which, the former Congressman, who has tried to win his seat back and is now running for state rep in 105 (to replace termed-out Rep. Carlos Trujillo), has not expressed an interest in the senate race, which is more natural for him than the congressional seat. Just because he was spotted in Frank’s old office in the Capitol Building in Tallahassee doesn’t mean anything. He could have just been visiting his longtime friend Alina Garcia, Artiles’ former Chief of Staff who once worked for Rivera.

Taddeo, on the other hand, has of course expressed interest in both seats. As well as, let’s just put dibs on it now, any seat that may open up in the future.

17 Responses to "Two new ‘open’ seats spur political piñata question: 40 or 27?"

  1. I feel like Mac gets the shaft a lot. He is a good guy, and it doesn’t seem to pan out for him. I am sure his committee will tell him he has a good shot. They love him and want to see him be successful.

    Cantera would be an interesting match. I would like to see him contend for the seat.

    Zapata would be good for Artile’s seat. He would be stupid to run for Ileana’s seat.

    The Dems declared this was their territory years ago. They spoke about the seat like they were just letting Ileana keep it, but if they were really interested in flexing muscles, they could take it back at any moment. Poor Kristen… The Dems like to sacrifice young, pretty candidates like she and Scott. They put people into races knowing they will lose…. The Dems were behind the 8 ball again and didn’t realize Ileana would be announcing her retirement.

    The plan was for the Daniella to take the seat with heavy backing from the Democratic party. They thought she would have a couple more years to prove herself as a strong candidate. A lot of her allies have been interested in the seat, but they did not know that the plan was for her taking it.

    Annette and Joe Garcia are definitely not viable contenders.

    I heard talks about Raquel organizing, but you would know better Ladra.

    Whomever is interested should already have invested lots of money in opposition research by now and should be fundraising like a bat out of hell.

    Curbelo needs to lend his weight and be instrumental in the selection of his new colleague.

    Do you think Barreiro running for the seat will help or hurt his wife?

  2. I think Juan Zapata Should run for District 40 he has represented the area for 12 years, but if he does not I would like Jose Felix Diaz.

    On district 27, would be interesting to see.

  3. Bruno Barreiro announced he is in for Congressional DIstrict 27. That opens his commission seat. The Herald is reporting that Alberto Carvahlo is considering a run for CD27. Losing him as Supt. Would be a big loss.

    • Barreiro in the US Congress would be interesting to watch. What’s necessary for federal dealmaking is another universe in comparison to Miami politics.

  4. I don’t like Mac. He was not the worst I’d seen, but he was not honest when he was in office before. He’d be the last guy I’d vote for of the candidates I’ve seen so far. Leopards don’t lose their spots.

    • Hello CatBreath. Do you have a specific incident where Mr MacDougall was dishonest? I’m curious as to your response. Thanks

  5. I Admit at this point Commissioner Rosen Gonzalez looks like the front runner but why are former elected officials allied to her advising her it is too early for her run for Cobgress?Is there a viable Beach candidate to be heard from? With Gillum n Graham in the Governor’s Race is Philip Levine thinking of this seat?

  6. Ladra what do you think of Anitere? She’s young and has all the qualities to fill the shoes of Ileana. She has a moderate voting record during her time in the Senate Y los más importante, cae bien. I voted for raquel but her personality isn’t as jovial as Anitere. She’d be the best candidate to keep in Republican hands.

  7. “I like Mac, but he’s got too problems: He’s a Trump-loving hardline conservative and a gringo.”

    Disregard the trump comment for a second; anybody else have a problem with this??

    Where is the inclusiveness and tolerance? White’s are essentially a minority in South Florida; a protected class.

    (I’m hispanic btw)

    • Guy, again your rage is misdirected. I love Mac. I think hed’d be a great public servant. I supported him in the primary against Curbelo (and even David Rivera! Imagine that!) in 2014. But he lost then because he is not Hispanic (I think he even won in the Keys).

      I’ve said it before and I will say it again, to win countywide or in certain districts in the 305, you have to have a z or a vowel at the end of your apellido. That’s just a fact. Just like I think Senate 38 is turning into a seat that is difficult if not impossible to win if you are not Haitian-American. It’s a matter of demographics, not just numbers but voter participation. And I told him so when we spoke about his exploratory committee — that’s his big weakness in a Distrit that includes Brickell, Little Havana, Coral Gables and Key Biscayne. Period. It is not racist or ethnicist to say so. It just is the facts. Sorry if your sensibilities are damaged.

      Still love ya, Ladra

  8. Ladra, stop being a shill for Regalado. Your personal animus against other candidates or perspective candidates is embarrassing. Stop being a hack!

    • Mr. 305, stop being an idiot! I am not a hack or a shill for Regalado. I am, however, a voter in both Senate District 40 and Congressional District 27 and — guess what? — she doesn’t even have my vote. Not yet anyway. Mostly because I want her to run for mayor in 2020, which is why I supported and worked on her team, by the way: to unseat Gimenez, the worst mayor ever.

      If you read correctly, which you seem unable to do, or know anyting about me, you will realize you I think she makes sense for the congressional seat from the GOP field — because, really, who wouldn’t? — and that I am against her moving to run for Senate. I basically called her a carpet bagger if she does. And I also like Kristen Rosen Gonzalez. A lot. I may end up voting for Rosen, who I have also always liked but never worked for, by the way. Raquel would have to win my vote on this one.

      In 40, since you can’t figure these things out for yourself, I like Ana Rivas Logan — heck, I liked her for this LAST YEAR! — though it may be hard for me not to cast a vote for Alex Diaz de la Portilla, who I both love and hate, now that I finally can.

      Love, Ladra

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